TLCTC Framework vs. Existing Standards & Regulations
The Challenge
The cybersecurity landscape is fragmented with numerous standards, frameworks, and regulations. While many provide valuable guidance, they often approach risk and threats differently, creating challenges for consistent cyber risk management. The Top Level Cyber Threat Clusters (TLCTC) framework aims to address this by providing a universal, cause-oriented threat taxonomy.
Comparative Analysis Approach
This comparison evaluates major frameworks against TLCTC's core principles using a checklist approach. The key criteria focus on whether a framework provides:
- (0) An explicit claim to address **Cyber**security (in name/mission);
- (1) An explicit Cyber Risk definition centered on a specific event (like TLCTC's "Loss of Control");
- (2) An explicit Cyber Threat definition based on the root cause (exploitation of generic vulnerabilities), separating cause from event/impact;
- (3) A structured Cyber Threat Categorization based on these definitions;
- (4) A derived Strategic Cyber Threat View;
- (5) Explicit Threat-Control Mapping; and
- (6) Standardized Attack Path Notation linked to the threat categories.
Understanding how frameworks align (or don't) with these specific structural elements highlights where TLCTC can provide complementary value.
Standard/Regulation/Org | Claim to Address Cyber? | Explicit *Cyber Risk* Definition (Event-Centric)? | Explicit *Cyber Threat* Definition (Cause-Oriented)? | Structured *Cyber Threat* Categorization (Cause-Oriented)? | Provides Structured Strategic *Cyber Threat* View? | Explicitly Maps *Cyber Threats* <-> Controls? | Standardized Attack Path Notation (Linked to Threat Categories)? | Why TLCTC Helps Here |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TLCTC Framework | βDesigned for Cyber | βDefines Risk via Loss of Control event | βDefines Threat via cause (generic vulnerability) | βFlows from cause-oriented Threat def | βFlows from categorization | β (Proposed) | βUses categorized Threats in paths | Directly Addresses Gaps: Designed specifically to provide consistent taxonomy, enable path description, map controls, and link strategy/operations based on its specific event-centric risk and cause-oriented threat definitions. |
ISO/IEC 27001:2022 | β'Cyber' in name | β No explicit event-centric Cyber Risk definition. Requires risk identification/assessment (refers to ISO 27000 for generic Risk/InfoSec Risk defs). | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition. Refers to ISO 27000 ('potential cause of incident'). | β No cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. Annex A provides a control reference set. | β No structured strategic Cyber Threat view provided. Focus is on ISMS requirements/controls. | β No explicit mapping from cause-oriented Threats to controls. Requires mapping risk treatment needs to controls (Annex A). | β No standardized attack path notation provided. | Provides the missing cause-oriented threat/risk structures to inform the 27001 risk assessment (Clause 6.1.2, 8.2) and treatment/control selection (Clause 6.1.3, 8.3, Annex A). |
ISO/IEC 27005:2022 | β'Cyber' in name | β No explicit event-centric Cyber Risk definition. Uses generic Risk = f(Consequence, Likelihood) (from ISO 27000/31000). | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition. Uses ISO 27000 definition ('potential cause'). | β No cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. Describes risk assessment/treatment *process*. | β No structured strategic Cyber Threat view provided. Focus is on risk management process guidance. | β No explicit mapping from cause-oriented Threats to controls. Guides selection of controls based on risk treatment needs. | β No standardized attack path notation linked to cause-oriented threat categories. Discusses 'risk scenarios' and assessment techniques (Annex A). | Provides the specific cause-oriented threat taxonomy and event-centric risk definition as structured inputs for the ISO 27005 assessment (Clause 7) and treatment (Clause 8) processes. Offers standard path notation for scenarios. |
NIST CSF 2.0 | β'Cyber' in name | β No explicit event-centric Cyber Risk definition provided. Focus is on managing risk via desired outcomes. | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition provided. Relies on external threat identification processes. | β No cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. CSF Core provides taxonomy of cybersecurity *outcomes*. | β No structured strategic Cyber Threat view. CSF Functions organize cybersecurity *program activities/outcomes*. | β No mapping from cause-oriented Threats to controls. Maps external controls/guidance *to* desired CSF *outcomes*. | β No standardized attack path notation provided. Focus is on high-level outcomes and activities. | Provides the foundational threat/risk definitions & cause-oriented taxonomy that CSF lacks. Can inform CSF's 'Identify' Function and help prioritize controls based on specific threat vectors relevant to achieving CSF outcomes. |
NIST SP 800-30 Rev 1 | β'Cyber' in desc. | β No explicit event-centric Cyber Risk definition. Uses generic Risk = f(Likelihood, Impact). | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition. Defines Threat via circumstance/event. | β No structured cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. Provides Threat Source/Event examples. | β No structured strategic Cyber Threat view provided. Focus is on assessment process. | β No explicit mapping from cause-oriented Cyber Threats to controls. Considers control impact on risk. | β No standardized attack path notation linked to cause-oriented threat categories. Uses conceptual 'Threat Scenarios'. | Provides structured, cause-oriented cyber threat taxonomy and event-centric risk definition as clearer input for the SP 800-30 assessment process. Offers standardized path notation. |
NIST SP 800-53 Rev 5 | β'Cyber' implied | β No explicit event-centric Cyber Risk definition. Provides *controls* to manage risk based on external risk definitions (e.g., SP 800-30). | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition. Relies on external threat definitions (e.g., SP 800-30). | β No cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. Provides a catalog of *controls* organized by families (AC, AT, etc.). | β No structured strategic Cyber Threat view. Control families provide a view of areas requiring controls. | β No mapping from a cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization to controls. Control selection based on external risk assessment/baselines. | β No standardized attack path notation provided. Focus is on individual controls. | Provides the foundational cause-oriented threat/risk structures missing from SP 800-53. Helps understand the *threat context* for selecting/tailoring 800-53 controls and prioritizing based on specific threat vectors. |
FedRAMP | β'Cyber' implied | β No explicit event-centric Cyber Risk definition. Inherits NIST RMF's risk concepts (e.g., SP 800-30). | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition. Inherits NIST RMF's threat concepts. | β No cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. Mandates NIST SP 800-53 control families. | β No structured strategic Cyber Threat view. Focus is on cloud service authorization process and controls. | β No mapping from a cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization to controls. Links controls to authorization baselines/risk assessments. | β No standardized attack path notation provided. Focus is on control implementation and assessment. | Provides the cause-oriented threat taxonomy & event-centric risk view missing from FedRAMP. Helps CSPs/agencies understand the *threats* behind the mandated NIST controls and aids risk assessment within the FedRAMP process. |
MITRE ATT&CK | β'Cyber' implied | N/A Focuses on adversary Tactics, Techniques, Procedures (TTPs), not defining risk events. | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition. Defines adversary *techniques* (methods). | β No cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. Categorizes adversary *behavior* (TTPs) by tactical goals. | ~ Provides strategic view of *attack lifecycle/goals* via Tactics, not cause-oriented threats. | ~ Maps TTPs (behaviors) to Mitigations/Detections, not from cause-oriented threats to controls. | ~ Implicitly describes attack paths via TTP sequences, lacks standardized notation linked to cause-oriented categories. | Provides the strategic, cause-oriented threat categorization to link specific ATT&CK TTPs to. Offers standardized path notation using these categories. |
MITRE CWE | ~Supports Cyber | N/A Focuses on software/hardware *weakness types*, not defining risk events. | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition. Defines *weakness types* (potential vulnerabilities). | β No cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. Categorizes *weakness types*. | N/A Provides view of *weakness types*, not strategic threats. | ~ Maps weaknesses to potential *mitigations*, not from cause-oriented threats to controls. | N/A Focuses on individual *weaknesses*, not attack paths. | Provides the strategic *threat context* (cause) for *how* specific CWEs (vulnerabilities) are exploited. Links cause (TLCTC cluster) to vulnerability (CWE). |
STRIDE | βNo 'Cyber' focus | β No event-centric risk definition. Focuses on *types of violations* (threat categories). | β No cause-oriented threat definition. Defines threats by *violated security property/goal*. | β No cause-oriented categorization. Categorizes by *type of attack/violation*. | β No strategic view based on *cause*. Provides view based on *attack types*. | ~ Implicitly maps *attack types* to mitigations/controls, not from cause-oriented threats. | β No standardized attack path notation provided. Focus is on threat identification per component. | Offers a consistent, cause-oriented threat categorization and event-centric risk view, complementing STRIDE's focus on violated security properties. Provides standardized path notation. |
OWASP Top 10 | βNo 'Cyber' focus | β No explicit event-centric Cyber Risk definition. Lists critical *web application security risks*. | β No explicit cause-oriented Cyber Threat definition. Describes *risks/vulnerabilities* in web apps. | β No cause-oriented Cyber Threat categorization. Provides an ordered *list of critical web application risks*. | β No strategic view based on *cause*. Provides a tactical/temporal view of *top web app risks*. | ~ Maps listed *risks/vulnerabilities* to controls/mitigations, not from cause-oriented threats. | β No standardized attack path notation provided. Focuses on individual risks. | Provides a stable, universal, cause-oriented threat taxonomy, separating *how* an exploit works (cause) from the specific *web application risk* (effect/vulnerability) listed in the evolving Top 10. |
BSI (General) | ~Supports Cyber | ~ (Likely InfoSec Risk) | ~ (Catalogues threats, lacks structure) | ~ (Provides categories, structure critiqued) | ~ (Lacks clear strategic structure) | ~ (Maps threats->controls) | β | Offers clear derivation, consistent structure, better separation of cyber concepts compared to BSI's current approach. |
CIS RAM | β'Cyber' implied | ~ (Standard risk definition) | ~ (Event/circumstance focus) | β | β | β | β | Provides the cause-oriented threat categorization layer to link risk assessment inputs to CIS Controls (defenses). |
CIS Controls v8 | β'Cyber' implied | ~ (Implicit risk) | β (Defense focus) | β | β | ~ (Maps to ATT&CK) | β | Provides the threat context for *why* specific CIS Controls are critical; helps map controls to specific risk causes. |
CMMC 2.0 | β'Cyber' in name | ~ (Implicit) | β | β | β | ~ (Implicit) | β | Provides threat context for CMMC controls. Helps prioritize implementation beyond pure compliance. |
IEC 62443 (ICS) | β'Cyber' implied | ~ (ICS risk focus) | β (Implied via vectors/scenarios - cause-oriented) | ~ (Supports categorization, no fixed list) | ~ (SLs provide some view) | ~ (Implicit via SLs) | ~ (Supports paths) | Offers a universal threat taxonomy to standardize threat identification in 62443 assessments. Provides standard path notation. |
ISO/SAE 21434 (Automotive) | β'Cyber' in name | ~ (Explicitly defines/manages *cyber* risk, but uses standard Likelihood x Impact, not TLCTC's specific event-centric model) | β (Uses cause-oriented Threat Scenarios (Source+Method+Vector) separate from Impact) | ~ (Structured TARA process uses cause elements (Method/Vector), but no fixed universal threat taxonomy provided) | ~ (Provides structured view via TARA at system/project level, not a universal strategic threat taxonomy) | β (Mandates traceability: Threat Scenario -> Goal -> Requirement=Control) | ~ (Supports attack path analysis (e.g., attack trees) but does not mandate a standard notation) | Provides a universal top-level threat taxonomy to complement ISO 21434's TARA process, enabling cross-project/OEM comparison. Offers standard path notation. |
GDPR / UK DPA 2018 | βNo 'Cyber' focus | N/A (Privacy risk) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | Provides cyber threat context for selecting technical/organizational measures for GDPR Art. 32. Links cyber threats to privacy risks. |
SOC 2 (AICPA TSC) | βNo 'Cyber' focus | β (Entity assessed) | β (Entity assessed) | β (Control criteria) | β | β (Controls vs Criteria) | β | Provides threat taxonomy to inform entity's internal risk assessment (input to SOC 2 controls). Helps users interpret SOC 2 reports. |
ISAE 3402 | βNo 'Cyber' focus | β (Auditing std) | β (Entity assessed) | β | β | β (Controls vs Objectives) | β | Provides threat taxonomy to inform service organization's control design & user entities' interpretation of reports. |
ETSI (General) | ~Supports Cyber | ~ (Standard defs) | ~ (Varies) | ~ (Varies) | β | ~ (Varies) | ~ (STIX) | Offers the missing universal, consistent threat taxonomy and path notation. |
FAIR | βNo 'Cyber' focus | β (Quantified risk) | β (Uses Threat Event Freq) | β (Risk analysis taxonomy) | β | ~ (Control impact) | ~ (Scenarios) | Provides structured threat categorization as input for FAIR's Threat Event Frequency analysis. Links quantified loss to specific threat types. |
VERIS | ~Supports Cyber | N/A (Incident) | N/A | β (Incident details) | β | N/A | ~ (Post-incident path) | Provides pre-incident threat categorization, complementing VERIS's incident focus. Links incident actions back to root threat types. |
Cyber Resilience Act (CRA) | β'Cyber' in name | ~ (Product risk) | β (Implicit) | β | β | ~ (Requirements) | β | Could provide threat taxonomy to inform CRA risk assessments and requirement applicability. |
NIS2 Directive | β'Cyber' implied | ~ (Network/info sys risk) | ~ (Event-centric threat def) | β | β | ~ (Measures based on risk) | β | Could provide the needed taxonomy for risk assessments and guiding measure selection under NIS2. |
DORA | β'Cyber' implied | ~ (ICT risk) | ~ (Defines 'cyber threat') | β | β | ~ (Mandates ICT risk framework) | ~ (TLPT implies path) | Provides threat taxonomy missing from DORA, standardizes path description (useful for TLPT context). |
Cybersecurity Act (ENISA) | β'Cyber' in name | N/A (Certification) | ~ (Defines 'cyber threat') | β | β | ~ (Schemes map reqs) | β | Could provide underlying threat taxonomy for developing certification requirements. |
TIBER-EU | β'Cyber' implied | ~ (Implied risks) | β (External TI) | β | β | ~ (Tests controls) | ~ (Implicit paths) | Provides structured threat categorization & path notation to standardize inputs/outputs for TIBER-style testing. |
COBIT 2019 | βNo 'Cyber' focus | ~ (I&T Risk) | β (Acknowledges threats) | β (Gov Objectives) | β (Governance view) | ~ (Practices -> Objectives) | β | Provides cyber threat taxonomy as input for COBIT's risk objective (APO12). Links governance to specific cyber threat management. |
CSA CCM v4 | β'Cyber' implied | β (Controls matrix) | β (Controls matrix) | β (Control domains) | β | β (Controls -> Stds) | β | Provides threat context for *why* specific CCM controls are needed. Helps prioritize CCM implementation based on cloud threat vectors. |
PCI DSS v4.0 | βNo 'Cyber' focus | ~ (Implicit risk to CHD) | β (Implied threats) | β (Control reqs) | β | β (Controls -> Objectives) | β | Provides threat taxonomy to link PCI controls to specific threat types. Helps prioritize based on broader threat landscape. |
Beyond Definitions: The Core Challenge of Risk Management Consistency
While the comparison table highlights differing definitions and coverage across various cybersecurity frameworks, a deeper analysis reveals a more fundamental challenge: a widespread **lack of a consistent, structured foundation for cyber risk management**. This inconsistency, often stemming from the structural approaches themselves, hinders effective and comparable risk assessment and mitigation across organizations and sectors.
Several key issues contribute to this lack of consistency in existing approaches, which the TLCTC framework aims to address:
- The Event-Centric Nature: Many frameworks focus heavily on the adverse event (like 'data breach' or 'system outage') or its consequences (impact). While important, this often blurs the lines between the initial cause (the threat exploiting a vulnerability) and the ultimate effect. Without a clear, cause-oriented starting point, consistently identifying *why* specific risks arise and mapping them to preventive controls becomes difficult.
- Overlooking the Event Chain: Cyberattacks are rarely isolated incidents; they often follow predictable sequences or "event chains" where one compromise enables the next (e.g., Phishing -> Client Exploit -> Malware Deployment). Frameworks that treat threats or TTPs in isolation, without a structured way to represent these sequences, miss the dynamic nature of real-world attacks. This hinders a holistic risk picture, impedes the understanding of lateral movement and escalation, and prevents the consistent application of controls at different stages of an attack path.
- Conflating System Compromise and Data Impact: A critical distinction, central to the TLCTC model, is often missed: the difference between the initial **System Risk Event** (the 'Loss of Control' over an asset when a threat materializes) and the subsequent **Data Risk Events** (the Loss of Confidentiality, Integrity, or Availability). The system compromise frequently occurs *before* any data impact. Failing to separate these fundamentally different event types leads to inconsistent mapping of preventive controls (which aim to stop the system compromise) versus detective and reactive controls (which aim to identify the compromise and mitigate the data/business impact).
This underlying structural inconsistency across many established frameworks results in fragmented terminology, siloed risk assessments, difficulties in comparing risk levels across different threats or assets, and ultimately, less efficient and less effective overall cyber risk management.
The 10 Top Level Cyber Threat Clusters (TLCTC) framework directly confronts this challenge by providing a universally applicable, cause-oriented taxonomy built on distinct, non-overlapping generic vulnerabilities. By clearly separating the threat (cause) from the system compromise (central event) and the data/business impact (consequences), and by enabling standardized attack path notation, TLCTC establishes the consistent foundation needed for more effective, comparable, and strategically aligned cyber risk management practices.
Conclusion: The Value of a Unified Threat Language
This comparison demonstrates that while numerous frameworks offer valuable tools for governance, control implementation, risk assessment, and assurance, they often lack a shared, foundational understanding and categorization of *cyber threats* based on their root causes. This absence leads to inconsistencies and inefficiencies when trying to build a comprehensive, strategically aligned cybersecurity posture.
The TLCTC framework aims to fill this gap by providing a "Rosetta Stone" β a simple, logically derived, and universally applicable taxonomy of the 10 fundamental ways cyber threats manifest through vulnerabilities. By adopting or mapping to TLCTC, organizations can:
- **Improve Communication:** Use a consistent language for threats across strategic, operational, and technical teams, as well as with regulators and partners.
- **Enhance Risk Assessment:** Ensure all primary threat vectors are considered systematically, complementing existing risk methodologies (like NIST RMF, FAIR, or ISO 27005).
- **Strengthen Control Mapping:** Understand *why* certain controls (from NIST 800-53, CIS Controls, PCI DSS, etc.) are necessary by linking them directly to the TLCTC clusters they mitigate.
- **Enable Strategic Alignment:** Bridge the gap between high-level risk management decisions (risk appetite, resource allocation) and operational realities (threat intelligence, TTPs, control implementation) using a stable, strategic threat view.
- **Standardize Attack Path Analysis:** Describe and compare complex attack sequences using a simple, common notation.
Ultimately, TLCTC seeks to provide the foundational threat layer upon which other frameworks and processes can operate more effectively and consistently, leading to more resilient and adaptable cybersecurity postures.
Understanding the Comparison Criteria & Legend
This table compares the Top Level Cyber Threat Clusters (TLCTC) framework against various existing standards, regulations, and organizational approaches based on alignment with core TLCTC principles and their explicit focus on "Cyber". The goal is to highlight how TLCTC aims to provide a more consistent, structured, and strategically-aligned foundation specifically for **Cyber Risk Management** based on **Cause-Oriented Cyber Threat** understanding. Here's what each criterion evaluates:
- Standard/Regulation/Org: The name of the framework being compared.
- Claim to Address Cyber?: Does the standard/framework explicitly use the term "Cyber" in its name, primary description, or stated mission, indicating a direct focus on cybersecurity issues? (β Explicit, ~ Implicit, β No). Justification provided in `` tags.
- Explicit *Cyber Risk* Definition (Event-Centric)?: Does the framework explicitly define Cyber Risk centered on a specific *event* (like TLCTC's 'Loss of Control'), clearly separating it from the initiating threat (cause) and subsequent consequences (impact)?
- Explicit *Cyber Threat* Definition (Cause-Oriented)?: Does the framework explicitly define Cyber Threats based on the *root cause* (e.g., exploitation of distinct, generic vulnerabilities), clearly separating this cause from the resulting event (e.g., system compromise) or impact?
- Structured *Cyber Threat* Categorization (Cause-Oriented)?: Does the framework provide a systematic, structured taxonomy for classifying Cyber Threats based on the distinct, *cause-oriented* definitions above?
- Provides Structured Strategic *Cyber Threat* View?: Does the framework's categorization offer a comprehensive, high-level, stable overview of the primary *Cyber Threat* vectors needed for strategic decision-making?
- Explicitly Maps *Cyber Threats* <-> Controls?: Does the framework provide an explicit structure or mechanism for linking its defined *Cyber Threat* categories directly to specific security controls or capabilities needed for mitigation?
- Standardized Attack Path Notation (Linked to Threat Categories)?: Does the framework offer a standardized way to describe multi-stage attack sequences using its defined *Cyber Threat* categories?
β Not Aligned / Not Provided / No Explicit Cyber Focus
~ Implicit / Partial Alignment / Implicit Cyber Focus
N/A Not Applicable / Different Focus (Used for criteria 1-6 when the framework's core purpose makes the question irrelevant, e.g., an auditing standard doesn't define risk itself).